Compass
Twenty years ago, almost all tech startups were created in startup ecosystems like Silicon Valley and Boston. Today, technology entrepreneurship is a global phenomenon, with startup ecosystems similar to Silicon Valley rapidly emerging all around the world. An interconnected, global startup landscape is taking shape and they’ve gathered the data and crunched the numbers that nobody else has to help you understand how to best navigate this brave new economic world.
The 2015 Global Startup Ecosystem Ranking lists the top 20 startup ecosystems from around the world. The index is produced by ranking ecosystems along give major components:
- Performance
- Funding
- Talent
- Market Reach
- Startup Experience
One of the main goals with this report is to help various stakeholders answer the following kinds of questions:
a) For Entrepreneurs:
“Where should I start my new company?”
“When I’m ready, where should I open up my startup’s second office?”
b) For Investors:
“How can I find new startup investment opportunities around the world instead of simply settling for solely investing in my local startup ecosystem due to familiarity?”
“Given the dearth of information out there about emerging startup ecosystems, how do I evaluate which ones I should focus on for finding new opportunities?”
c) For Policy Makers:
“What initiatives should I prioritize in my startup ecosystem to maximize growth?”
“How should I measure the progress of these initiatives?”
d) For All Stakeholders:
“What is the best way to strengthen the overall vibrancy and entrepreneurial spirit in my ecosystem?”
Five Key Findings
1. Ecosystems have become more interconnected and startup teams have become more international:
a) Global average for investments in a startup from outside of its home ecosystem
- 37% of all funding rounds in the top 20 ecosystems have at least one investor from another ecosystem. In North America this is 41%.
- 27% of all funding rounds have at least one investor from abroad. (North America 20%, Europe 38%, Asia-Pacific 29%)
b) Globally distributed startup teams
In the top 20 ecosystems, the number of offices that are 2nd offices from startups outside the ecosystem or headquarters of startups that were founded elsewhere and moved to the ecosystem, rose by 8.4x from 2012 to 2014.
c) International Teams:
The number of foreign employees within a startup is 29% on average for the top 20 ecosystems (Silicon Valley 45%)
2. Exit Values:
Total exit growth across the top 20 ecosystems rose 78% annually from 2012 to 2014 (40% IPOs/60% Acquisitions).
Looking at the relative growth rates of exit value, we see Silicon Valley growing at a 47% rate over the last two years, whereas many other ecosystems further down the index are growing at a much faster pace.
London has quadrupled in the same timeframe, and Berlin has grown by a factor of 20 (due primarily to the two big IPOs of Rocket Internet and Zalando).
Full Exit Growth Table:
Hyper Growth 2x+ Average Growth | |
Berlin | 20x |
Bangalore | 5x |
Amsterdam | 4x |
London | 3x |
Tel Aviv | 2x |
High Growth 1.5x Average Growth | |
Seattle | 1.5x |
Austin | 1.5x |
Boston | 1.5x |
Avg growth | |
Singapore | 1x |
Vancouver | 1x |
Modest Growth | |
Los Angeles | .5x |
Silicon Valley | .5x |
New York City | .5x |
Stagnant Exit Growth: | |
Paris | 0 |
Moscow | 0 |
Chicago | 0 |
Sydney | 0 |
Toronto | 0 |
Europe vs. U.S.
Exit value grew much faster in the top European ecosystems than the top ecosystems in the U.S.: 4.1x Europe versus 1.5x U.S. (2012-2014), yet in 2014 the volume of exits was still on average 34% higher in American startup ecosystems than in European ecosystems.
Analysis:
Over the coming years we expect Silicon Valley to stay in the lead, even while other ecosystems temporarily grow at a faster pace, with the expectation of ultimate convergence towards an equilibrium that looks a fairly conventional 80/20 power law; i.e. Silicon Valley capturing 30-50% of the total exit pie, the next three startup ecosystems capturing an additional 30-50% of the pie and the following top 16 startup ecosystems capturing the remaining 20% of the total exit pie.
3. VC Investment Trends in Startup Ecosystems:
Total venture capital investment across the top 20 ecosystems rose 95% from 2013 to 2014.
a) VC Growth:
The ecosystems with the most growth in VC investments were Berlin (12x), Bangalore (4x), Boston (3.7x), Amsterdam (2x), and Seattle (2x). Meanwhile, Silicon Valley almost doubled up with 93% growth from 2013 to 2014, with indications from Crunchbase that almost all of the increase in Silicon Valley funding was in late stage Series B and Series C+ capital rather than early stage capital, which was relatively stagnant.
b) Seed Stage Capital Growth:
The startup ecosystems with the fastest annual growth in the number of seed rounds over the last two years were Bangalore (53%), Sydney 33%), and Austin (30%). Boston, Vancouver, and Montreal all experienced relatively modest growth.
4. Ecosystem Ranking Changes since 2012 : Winners and Losers
The startup ecosystems which made the biggest leaps are New York, Austin, Bangalore, Singapore, and Chicago. New York City made a significant leap among the established players, moving from position #5 to #2 to take the silver medal. Austin, Texas, meanwhile leapt all the way into #14th place, whereas three years ago they didn’t even crack the top 20. Bangalore moved from #19 to #15, Singapore from #17 to #10, Berlin from #15 to #9, and Chicago from #10 to #7.
The startup ecosystems which made the biggest falls are Vancouver, Toronto, Sydney, and Seattle. Vancouver slipped out of the top 10 from position #9 to #18, Toronto slid from #8 down to #17, Sydney dropped from #12 to #16, and Seattle fell from #4 to #8. Again, all of these ecosystems did grow in the past three years, but not as fast as other environments, which puts them at risk of eventually being left behind.
Three ecosystems fell out of the top 20 completely since 2012: Santiago, Melbourne, and Waterloo. Santiago had fast initial growth, but ended up peaking fairly quickly, and the growth of Melbourne and Waterloo likely took a hit due to their close proximity to the larger startup ecosystems of Sydney and Toronto, respectively. Smaller ecosystems with close proximity to larger ecosystems often have a hard time continuing to grow due to new and existing talent and capital migrating to the larger nearby ecosystem.
5. Gender Equality amongst Startup Founders
The lack of gender equality is common across all startup ecosystems. No ecosystem comes close to an equal share of male and female founders, although psychologists and sociologists continue to debate whether 50/50 is the target to strive for [see this article on gender differences by Florida State Psychology professor Roy Baumeister][1]. Overall, the trend for female entrepreneurs is significantly up—the number of female founders in the global startup ecosystem has grown by 80% over the last three years. In 2012, 10% of startups had a female founder, as compared to the 18% global average among the top 20 in 2015. Chicago, with 30% female founders, has the greatest percentage of women entrepreneurs out of the top 20 startup ecosystems.
Read full coverage and download the report here.